ER26-3380-000 · 2026-08-21 · Delaware Division of the Public AdvocateDistrict of Columbia Office of People's CounselIllinois Citizens Utility Board ,Maryland Office of the People's Counsel ,New Jersey Division of Rate Counsel ,Office of the Illinois Attorney General ,
Protest, Motion to Reject, and Alternative Request for the Imposition of Conditions of Delaware Division of the Public Advocate et al
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UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
BEFORE THE
FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY COMMISSION
PJM Interconnection, L.L.C.
Docket No. ER26-3380-000
PROTEST, MOTION TO REJECT, AND ALTERNATIVE REQUEST
FOR THE IMPOSITION OF CONDITIONS OF JOINT CONSUMER
ADVOCATES
Pursuant to Rules 211 and 212 of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission’s
(Commission) Rules of Practice and Procedure,1 the Delaware Division of the Public
Advocate, District of Columbia Office of People’s Counsel, Illinois Citizens Utility Board,
Office of the Illinois Attorney General, Maryland Office of the People’s Counsel, and New
Jersey Division of Rate Counsel (Joint Consumer Advocates)2 protest the July 31, 2026,
filing by PJM Interconnection, L.L.C. (PJM) of a proposed Reliability Backstop
Procurement (RBP) framework.3 For the reasons stated here, the Commission should
reject the RBP as unjust and unreasonable. If this request is denied, the Commission should
condition acceptance of the proposal as described below.
SUMMARY
The PJM Filing purports to implement “just one part”4 of the January 16, 2026,
“Statement of Principles Regarding PJM” that was signed earlier this year by federal
officials on behalf of the White House National Energy Dominance Council and the
1 18 C.F.R. §§ 385.211, 385.212.
2 Each of the Consumer Advocates has separately and timely moved for leave to intervene in this proceeding.
3 PJM Interconnection, L.L.C., Reliability Backstop Procurement to Address Resource Adequacy Concerns
Stemming from New Load Adjustments (July 31, 2026), eLibrary No. 20260731-5214 (PJM Filing).
4 Id. at 1-2.
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governors of all thirteen PJM states (but not the Mayor of the District of Columbia).5 Those
principles include calling for the development of a “Reliability Backstop Auction” to
“procure new capacity,” and provide that “PJM should allocate the cost of any new capacity
procured through” the auction to Load Serving Entities (LSEs) “with new data centers that
have not self-procured new capacity or agreed to be curtailable.”6 Along the same line, the
White House issued its Ratepayer Protection Pledge on March 4, 2026, which states:7
Companies will build, bring, or buy the new generation
resources and electricity needed to satisfy their new energy
demands, paying the full cost of those resources whether by
building, or buying from, new or otherwise additive power
plants. Where possible, these companies will also add more
capacity that serves the broader public by increasing supply.
* * *
Companies will pay for all new power delivery infrastructure
upgrades required to service their data centers, including
adequate network upgrade costs to ensure that these
expenses are not passed on to the ordinary household.
PJM’s proposed tariff language does not require that large load customers “pay[]
the full cost of” resources “needed to satisfy their new energy demands.” RBP would
instead allocate new capacity costs to “each Electric Distributor’s zone/area using that
zone/area’s pro-rata share of the difference between the forecasted Load Adjustments for
the 2026/2027 Delivery Year and the 2028/2029 Delivery Year.”8 The subsequent
5 Statement of Principles Regarding PJM, National Energy Dominance Council (Jan. 16, 2026),
https://energy.gov/documents/statement-principles-regarding-pjm (https://perma.cc/35HJ-W56E)
(Statement of Principles).
6 Id. at 1-2 (emphasis added).
7 Press Release, The White House, Ratepayer Protection Pledge (Mar. 4, 2026),
https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/03/ratepayer-protection-pledge/. PJM reports that on July 23,
2026, “the signatories to the Ratepayer Protection Pledge expanded to include more than 200 utilities, data
center developers, and cooperatives, and state governors, including the governors of PJM states Tennessee,
West Virginia, Ohio, and Indiana.” PJM Filing, Transmittal at 18.
8 PJM Filing, Attach. B (Proposed Tariff), Attach. DD § 18.3(a).
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allocation of those costs among retail customers—i.e., the assignment of those costs to
large loads or others—is dependent on actions at the state/retail level. As PJM states
succinctly in the filing’s Transmittal Letter, the “success of the RBP requires state
participation.”9
The machinery through which a state will act is described in the filing. PJM
proposes that “cost allocation to LSEs within an Electric Distributor’s zone/area be based
on ‘the state and/or [Relevant Electric Retail Regulatory Authority (RERRA)]-determined
allocation of cleared RBP [Unforced Capacity (UCAP)] megawatts [(MW)] to LSEs within
each Electric Distributor’s zone/area, as reported by each Electric Distributor to PJM.’”10
PJM affiant Danielle Croop explains that the “Electric Distributor designated to coordinate
with the states and/or RERRAs” will report, “where available,” to PJM the “MW for the
LSEs in an Electric Distributor’s zone/area.”11 In other words, the Electric Distributor12
will tell PJM how its RERRA and/or state commission plan to allocate the RBP costs to
Load Serving Entities in the state commission’s zone/area. Ms. Croop also states that
besides the LSE, the RERRA or state commission may also allocate “RBP UCAP MW to
specific . . . end-use customers.”13
9 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 10.
10 Id. at 97-98 (quoting Proposed Tariff, Attach. DD § 18.3(b)(iii)).
11 PJM Filing, Attach. C, Affidavit of Ms. Danielle Croop ¶ 51 (Croop Aff.).
12 Section 1, Definitions E - F of the PJM Operating Agreement defines “Electric Distributor” as a “Member
that: 1) owns or leases with rights equivalent to ownership electric distribution facilities that are used to
provide electric distribution service to electric load within the PJM Region; or 2) is a generation and
transmission cooperative or a joint municipal agency that has a member that owns electric distribution
facilities used to provide electric distribution service to electric load within the PJM Region.” Ms. Croop
does not elaborate on how (or by whom) an Electric Distributor would be “designated.”
13 Croop Aff. ¶ 41.
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An example (using actual companies instead of acronyms) may help in
understanding how PJM’s proposal is intended to work. In Illinois (a state represented by
the Joint Consumer Advocates), PJM’s process would apparently be as follows:
Commonwealth Edison Company (ComEd), the Electric Distributor for the PJM ComEd
zone, will report to PJM how the Illinois Commerce Commission (ICC), a RERRA in the
ComEd zone, plans to assign RBP costs to LSEs, which include ComEd, the default
supplier, as well as the alternative retail energy suppliers that serve ComEd customers
(because Illinois is a restructured state). We assume that the ICC will need to engage in
some process to identify large load customers or LSEs with large load customers. From
that list, the ICC will then have to identify the specific LSE linked to each large load
customer—though the ICC questions whether it will have access to the data necessary to
make these identifications.14 Finally, the ICC would have to identify a means by which to
“allocate” those charges to the LSE or specific large load customers—a process that may
well take more time than feasible, given the proposed RBP schedule. This allocation to be
developed by state commission or RERRA is given a name by PJM, the “RBP Obligation”
(RBO).15
In the “unexpected event”16 that “RBOs are ultimately not reported to PJM,” PJM
proposes that the costs for up to 15 years of capacity payments to zones/areas to which
RBP cost responsibility is assigned will simply default to a “back-up cost allocation
methodology to determine allocation to LSEs.” In other words, where a state does not act—
or acts late—zonal RBP charges are allocated onto the general ratepayer body within the
14 Illinois Commerce Commission Comments at 6 (Aug. 19, 2026), eLibrary No. 20260819-5134.
15 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 98.
16 Id.
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relevant zone.17 Where costs are assigned to a specific PJM zone, and large load customers
in that zone fail to materialize in the Delivery Year, other customers in the affected zone
will be assigned the RBP costs, barring a binding agreement for the large load to cover its
stranded costs. In other words, even where a state is able to navigate PJM’s process in a
timely manner, the proposed tariff provisions can result (e.g., where the forecasted large
load customer does not materialize) in allocating the costs in a manner directly contrary to
the outcome sought in the Statement of Principles and the commitments made in the
Ratepayer Protection Pledge.18
These concerns aside, RBP falls well short of the just and reasonable standard. The
proposal effectively defeats itself, as it is awash in fundamental contradictions:
• PJM asserts that ensuring regional reliability demands the immediate
procurement of 6.8 gigawatts (GW) of new supply, but proposes various RBP
opt-outs19 that could shrink that number substantially—calling into question the
extent of any claimed reliability need.
• Although RBP permits a reduction in the procurement target to reflect opt-outs
and large load self-supply, there is no comparable provision to reduce the target
to reflect demand reductions that have occurred since the establishment of the
Base Residual Auction (BRA) reliability requirement for the 2028/2029
Delivery Year or which may occur before October 21, 2026 (the deadline for
the submission of opt-out and offsetting self-supply requests20) if data centers
are delayed, cancelled, or otherwise not expected to be in-service by the
2028/2029 Delivery Year.
17 Id. at 99 (“[I]f no allocation is reported by the relevant Electric Distributors with allocated RBP UCAP
MW, PJM will allocate RBP Charges based on the Peak Load Contribution submitted to PJM for the LSEs
in the relevant zone/area.”).
18 PJM explains: “[a]t bottom, ‘exclusive jurisdiction’ rests with the states to ensure that the appropriate retail
customers, i.e., new large loads, including data centers—and not residential customers or small industrial
customers—are suballocated costs associated with the wholesale costs of RBP Resources procured through
the RBP.” Id. at 16 (footnote omitted).
19 Id. at 31-33; Proposed Tariff, Attach. DD § 18.1(d).
20 PJM Staff & Charles River Associates, Reliability Backstop Procurement Execution: Post CIFP Workshop
at
5
(Aug.
10,
2026)
https://www.pjm.com/-/media/DotCom/committees-groups/cifp-
rbp/2026/20260810/20260810-pjm-and-cra-reliability-backstop-procurement-presentation.pdf
(requested
opt-outs and offsets to be reported by October 21, 2026).
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• RBP seeks to alleviate a one-time, near-term capacity shortfall, yet truncates
the universe of possible suppliers through extended commitment requirements.
New capacity available as of the beginning the 2028/2029 Delivery Year is
eligible to bid only if the resource can be offered for a “fixed 15-Delivery Year
term.”21
• PJM proposes that selected resources must be paid for as long as fifteen years,
but at the same time explains that the reliability shortfall can be met through
bilateral agreements of only “five years [because these] will address the
reliability shortfall.”22
• Unlike the BRA, PJM proposes no market mitigation protocol for the RBP,
even as it admits that the RBP’s pay-as-bid design is subject to market power
concerns, including that “sellers are more likely to offer the expected clearing
price” rather than their marginal cost.23
• PJM posits mitigation measures are not needed in part because an abundant
supply of competitors will discipline bidders.24 But the supporting data offered
by PJM shows the opposite, and the assertion is contradicted by PJM’s
acknowledgement that sellers will bid the expected clearing price—not their
marginal cost.25
• PJM proposes using the price at which resources would have cleared in the
2027/2028 BRA but for the imposition of a price collar ($555/MW-day) to set
the weighted average RBP ceiling price.26 The BRA cap price is set using the
Cost of New Entry for a combustion turbine reference unit and constitutes
scarcity rent for a one-year capacity commitment. A cap set on that basis is
irrelevant to the determination of what should be paid to a set of heterogenous
RBP-selected resources earning these rents for up to fifteen years. And PJM
admits that a fifteen-year price lock “creates revenue certainty” and “may
improve financing opportunities” but fails to discount the RBP cap to reflect
this reality.27
21 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 48; Proposed Tariff, Attach. DD § 18.4.
22 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 39.
23 Id. at 71 (quoting Croop Aff. ¶ 33).
24 Id. at 68-69. If substantial amounts of new generation are in fact in the offing, then that would be an
indication that the BRA and related initiatives are working—which would counsel against adopting a
massively expensive (and, as we will demonstrate, ill-conceived) supplemental generation procurement
program.
25 Id. at 71.
26 Id. at 61-62.
27 Id. at 63-64.
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• RBP includes no locational procurement signal, as PJM asserts that it does not
have the information needed to determine locational parameters for a 15-year
period. That assertion cannot be reconciled with PJM’s intention to allocate
RBP costs to zones based on their large load forecasts. PJM understands the
locations of the shortfall, but RBP fails to target new capacity procurements
that are tied to those zones.28 This risks burdening ratepayers with additional
new transmission and energy costs that could be avoided or ameliorated through
the use of a locational procurement signal.
• The RBP payments are structured as contracts for differences with RBP
resources bidding into the BRA as price takers.29 This means that the total
payment to an RBP-selected resource will remain unchanged—even as PJM’s
other initiatives incent the development of new generation and its proposed
Interim Resource Adequacy Service (IRAS) removes new data center load from
the BRA.30 The result is that, as the region’s generation supply catches up with
demand, and BRA prices moderate, the RBP payments will remain as excessive
and unjustified as ever.
In short, this is not a situation in which PJM has filed a more or less reasonable
proposal that the Commission is duty-bound to accept even though there may be a more
reasonable alternative. As shown above and detailed below, PJM’s own filing explains why
the RBP is a flawed, unjust, and unreasonable proposal. While it may be the case that there
is some level of capacity shortfall that needs to be addressed near-term to ensure reliability,
PJM has failed to show that the proposed RBP is the way to procure it. As was made clear
during the stakeholder process, there are more efficient, cost-effective, and just and
reasonable ways to accomplish this goal, including potentially through PJM’s recently-
filed IRAS proposal.
28 See Croop Aff. ¶ 46 (listing chart of zonal allocations and stating “[t]he initial allocation of RBP UCAP
MW to each Electric Distributor zone/area will be based on Load Adjustments, as set forth in PJM Table
B9b from the 2026 PJM Load Forecast, and each zone/area’s share of the Initial RBP Target of 6,831.3
MW”).
29 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 79-81; Proposed Tariff, Attach. DD §§ 18.5(g), 18.6.
30 Proposal of PJM Interconnection, L.L.C. to Establish Interim Resource Adequacy Service and a Large
Load Registry to Address System Reliability, Transmittal Letter at 109, Docket No. ER26-3515 (Aug. 13,
2026), eLibrary No. 20260813-5118 (PJM IRAS Filing).
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The Commission should reject the proposed RBP because it will needlessly inflate
costs—no matter who is ultimately called upon to pay them.31 Instead, we urge the
Commission to adopt a subscription-based model. Alternatively, the Commission could
consider accepting and making the IRAS proposal, under which new large load that does
not self-supply will be subject to curtailment and excluded from the BRA beginning in the
2029/2030 Delivery Year, immediately effective. The Commission could consider
advancing IRAS such that beginning with the 2028/2029 Delivery Year large load
customers will have the option of either bringing their own generation sufficient to meet
their needs or have that amount of load subject to curtailment if and as necessary.32
Alternatively, if the Commission declines to reject RBP, then Joint Consumer
Advocates propose a set of conditions that should be imposed as part of any approval of
the proposal. The conditions are designed to limit needless and excessive RBP cost
exposure while continuing to meet the claimed objectives of RBP.
31 The large load data centers that are at the heart of PJM’s claimed need for new capacity have made
statements that go both ways on the question of whether they acknowledge the obligation to fund the new
generation needed to address the shortfall (and beyond). On July 23, 2026, the “Data Center Coalition” (DCC)
issued a press release concerning the Ratepayer Protection Pledge, in which it asserted: “The data center
industry remains committed to being responsible partners where we operate, which includes paying our full
energy costs and investing in local jobs and workforce development.” Press Release, DCC, Statement from
the Data Center Coalition on the White House Ratepayer Protection Pledge (July 23, 2026),
https://www.datacentercoalition.org/cpages/dcc-statement-on-ratepayer-protection-pledge-
20/6a62879e96385f05ff0782c6. Two months earlier, on May 18, 2026, the DCC issued a press release
announcing that it had commissioned a “new independent report” by a consulting firm that “finds no
historical evidence that data centers are driving increases in residential electricity costs under existing rate
structures.” The release also notes that the report found that, “[i]n the PJM market (13 states and Washington,
D.C.), data center load growth accounted for approximately half of the recent increase in capacity prices,
with the remainder attributable to market design changes, supply constraints, and power plant retirements.”
Press Release, DCC, New Report Finds No Evidence Data Centers are Driving Higher Residential Electricity
Costs (May 18, 2026), https://www.datacentercoalition.org/cpages/e3-energy-white-paper.
32 PJM IRAS Filing at 49, 109.
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I.
PROTEST
PJM says that reliability demands that nearly 7 gigawatts of new supply be procured
in the near-term, yet permits an untold number of megawatts (or possibly gigawatts) to
opt-out of the auction with no evident reliability consequence. RBP will saddle ratepayers
with fifteen years of payments, even as PJM admits that the proposed commitment period
is as much as a decade longer than the five-year bilateral procurements that will meet PJM’s
reliability needs. The design constrains, if not prohibits, the participation of short-term
resources that are most likely to align with the immediate-term need. The proposed price
cap is unjustified, as it bears no meaningful relationship to the costs of the resources to be
procured, is excessive, and was lifted from a design in which it is used in setting clearing
prices for a one-year commitment, not a period as long as fifteen years. Extended price
certainty should mean lower, not higher, prices. PJM admits that its RBP’s pay-as-bid
design is subject to market power concerns because sellers are more likely to offer the
expected clearing price rather than their marginal cost, yet its proposal contains no market
mitigation protocols. A competitive procurement rife with obvious market power problems
that includes no meaningful mitigation measures is per se unjust and unreasonable.
A.
RBP’s design is contrary to PJM’s assertion that the proposal is
needed to address a reliability risk associated with a 6.8 GW
capacity shortfall.
PJM says that the RBP is necessary to address the BRA’s second consecutive
failure to clear sufficient capacity to meet the region’s reliability requirement. As explained
in the Transmittal Letter:33
PJM’s BRA for the 2028/2029 Delivery Year, which ran
from June 30, 2026, to July 7, 2026, cleared 6,831.3 MW (in
33 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 7.
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Unforced Capacity (“UCAP”)) short of PJM’s Regional
Transmission
Organization
(“RTO”)-wide
reliability
requirement at the market price cap of $325/MW-day.
The mechanics of the RBP proposal call the extent of the claimed reliability risk
into question. Public power entities (municipally-owned and cooperative utilities) are
afforded substantial opt-out rights from the requirement to secure RBP capacity. PJM
explains:34
the region-wide Initial RBP Target will be further reduced
by Opt-Out UCAP MW to the extent that an Electric
Distributor, whose rates are not regulated by the state (e.g.,
cooperatives or municipal utilities), that is unable to allocate
costs associated with capacity bid submission in the RBP to
large loads, submits a request to PJM to opt-out from the
RBP within the bid submission window and provides
relevant information and written support.
In addition, utilities who are required to participate in state-enacted peak shaving programs
are also authorized to opt-out to the extent of such participation. Proposed Tariff
Attachment DD, section 18.1(d) provides in part:35
The Initial RBP Target shall be further decremented, if
requested by an Electric Distributor, by up to the associated
MW quantity of load that participates in a peak shaving
adjustment program where such Electric Distributor’s
zone/area addresses their capacity needs through peak
shaving adjustment programs that are codified in state law
and that also meet the requirements of Tariff, Attachment
DD-2.
If exercised, these opt-outs would reduce the amount to be procured, perhaps
significantly. For example, three Virginia-based cooperatives (co-ops) appear to be in line
for initial allocations of RBP UCAP MWs (in the aggregate) of 1,940.9 MW, or more than
34 Id. at 32-33.
35 Proposed Tariff, Attach. DD § 18.1(d).
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1.9 GW.36 Were the three Virginia coops to exercise opt outs for these megawatts, that
action could reduce the amount of capacity procured in the RBP, perhaps by as much as
28%. The potential scope of the megawatts that would be “decremented” if the peak
shaving plan opt-out is exercised is not specified but is evidently unconstrained and could
well be substantial.
The ability to opt-out—and thereby lower the amount of the shortfall
substantially—calls into question the urgency and scope of the claimed need. The assertion
that reliability imperatives demand taking on a multi-year and multi-billion-dollar
commitment to procure 6,831 megawatts of new capacity does not accord with a design
that permits ignoring substantial megawatts of the claimed need with no apparent reliability
consequence.37
In addition, the shortfall is premised on large load development forecasts that are
suspect at best, and could be materially incorrect by October 21, 2026—the date on which
opt-outs and qualifying supply must be reported to PJM in order for the final RBP
procurement target to be set. While the shortfall is fueled by the anticipated arrival of
substantial new data center load, how much of this new demand will appear (let alone do
so in accord with scheduled arrival dates) is fraught with uncertainty. The facts on the
ground are changing rapidly. In May, a “JP Morgan analysis found that more than 60% of
data-center capacity planned for completion in 2027 isn’t yet under construction, and
36 Croop Aff. ¶¶ 46-47 (associated tables showing initial RBP UCAP MW allocations for NOVEC (Northern
Virginia Electric Cooperative), ODEC (Old Dominion Electric Cooperative) and Rappahannock Electric
Cooperative (REC), and an example of qualifying self-supply decrements submitted by ODEC and REC
(Qualifying RBP Offset UCAP MW)).
37 To be clear, the answer to this concern is not to eliminate the opt-out provisions. Our point is simply that
the presence of substantial opt-out eligibility reveals that the supposed reliability need for these resources is
unproven and, as we develop below, could be met more efficiently by other means. Those include
accelerating the date when new large loads that do not self-supply become subject to IRAS.
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another 7% is delayed.”38 Even more recently, Exelon Corporation announced a 7-GW
reduction (to 11 GW) in its “high probability” data center load within PJM following a
review that resulted in culling out speculative projects.39
In like regard, RBP has been developed against a backdrop of ever-diminishing
large load forecasts. On April 17 of this year, PJM identified an anticipated RBP
procurement target of 14.8 GW.40 In a little over three months, that forecast has fallen by
more than half, to 6.8 GW, a rate of 2.3 GW per month.41 Notwithstanding this trend line,
the RBP contains no measures to reduce the final RBP procurement target to reflect
additional data center load that is delayed or cancelled (and thus not expected to be in-
service by the 2028/2029 Delivery Year) before October 21, 2026, when the requests for
opt-outs and/or qualifying self-supply offsets are due. In the same way that PJM proposes
to reduce the RBP procurement amount to reflect new self-supply, that amount should also
be adjusted to reflect known reductions in large load demand (and require reporting of
same).42
38 Katherine Blunt, America’s Data-Center Build-Out Is Falling Way Behind Schedule, Wall Street Journal
(June
3,
2026),
https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/americas-data-center-build-out-is-falling-way-behind-
schedule-e408a9a8?mod=hp_lead_pos1.
39 Ethan Howland, Exelon ‘High Probability’ Data Center Load Falls 40%, Utility Dive (July 31, 2026)
https://www.utilitydive.com/news/exelon-data-center-load-new-jersey-battery-earnings/826686/.
40 PJM Staff, Reliability Backstop Procurement Design: Reliability Backstop CIFP at 11 (Apr. 16-17, 2026),
https://www.pjm.com/-/media/DotCom/committees-groups/cifp-rbp/2026/20260416/20260416-item-05---
pjm-reliability-backstop-procurement-design---pjm-presentation.pdf.
41 Croop Aff. ¶ 4.
42 Note that the failure to credit this reduction is significant. The delay or cancellation of just one large data
center that is not reflected in the RBP procurement target could result in the acquisition of 1,000 MW of
knowingly unneeded capacity. Charging an average price of $555/MW-day for 15 years translates into more
than $3 billion in gross capacity costs to ratepayers to serve an unproven shortfall (1,000 MW x $555/MW-
day x 365 x 15 = $3,038,625,000). By any measure that is unjust and unreasonable.
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B.
PJM fails to demonstrate that 15-year resource commitments
are needed to meet the capacity shortfall.
PJM repeatedly characterizes the RBP as a “one-time, supplementary mechanism”
and an “interim step” to address a “near-term” shortfall.43 The RBP identifies its object as
a discrete, near-term reliability gap rather than a durable long-term deficiency. The Initial
RBP Target is the 6,831.3 MW UCAP shortfall observed in the July 2026 BRA for the
2028/2029 Delivery Year.44 No additional RBP procurements are proposed.
The design of the selection process reinforces the near-term orientation. To pass
Stage 1 gating, a resource must demonstrate a firm in-service date no later than
June 1, 2032.45 In Stage 2, PJM does not select on price alone: offers are ranked first by
earliest commercial operation date (COD) and only then, within that ordering, by least
levelized cost of capacity, up to the target.46 The RBP thus places a premium on speed—
on the capacity that can be delivered fastest against a near-term gap.
Notwithstanding its near-term orientation, the RBP limits supply options in ways
that are contrary to its stated purpose. First, RBP purchases only one product: a “fixed 15-
Delivery Year term” running from the 2028/2029 Delivery Year through the 2042/2043
Delivery Year.47 The 2042/2043 endpoint is set; resources with later CODs will be subject
43 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 6-7, 21-22.
44 Id. at 31; Proposed Tariff, Attach. DD § 18.1(a).
45 Proposed Tariff, Attach. DD § 18.5(f)(i)(1).
46 Id. § 18.5(f)(ii); see also PJM, Supplemental Filing, Attach. A, Supplemental Affidavit of Ms. Danielle
Croop (Aug. 14, 2026), eLibrary No. 20260814-5244 (explaining Delivery Year prioritization of RBP
resource selection).
47 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 48; Proposed Tariff § 18.4 (“The Reliability Backstop Procurement shall offer
commitments for RBP UCAP MW for a fixed period of fifteen (15) Delivery Years, starting with the
2028/2029 Delivery Year.”).
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to shorter payout periods, but the terminal delivery year remains unchanged.48 The
limitation that resources cannot offer a commitment term ending before 2042/2043
excludes those that can energize quickly and in time for the 2028/2029 Delivery Year but
are unwilling or unable to be bound through 2042/2043 Delivery Year. The design defeats
itself by requiring the purchase of longer-term resources while constraining the
participation of shorter-term resources that could better align with the identified need.
This limitation notwithstanding, PJM does not defend the 15-year commitment
term as necessary to cure the reliability shortfall. PJM instead supports this facet of the
proposal by pointing to the Statement of Principles, referencing the document’s call to
“[p]rovide 15-year price certainty for new capacity resources.”49 PJM offers no analysis
comparing the ratepayer cost of a 15-year term against shorter alternatives. And the Charles
River Associates (CRA) Request for Information (RFI) survey information PJM relies
upon shows that there are resources willing to agree to shorter terms. Roughly 1/5 (21%)
of the supply-side response projects would agree to terms of 10 years or less, and another
13% of respondents were “flexible” as to term.50
And the proposed RBP design includes provisions that undercut the notion that
fifteen years of payments are needed to address the shortfall.51 The proposal is express that
48 Proposed Tariff § 18.4 (“Resources with a commercial operation date later than the 2028/2029 Delivery
Year shall be committed for the remainder of the fifteen-year term of the Reliability Backstop Procurement
commitment period, i.e. through the end of the 2042/2043 Delivery Year.”).
49 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 48 (quoting Statement of Principles at 1).
50 Charles River Associates, PJM Reliability Backstop RFI Summary at 5 (May 27, 2026) (CRA RFI
Summary), https://www.pjm.com/-/media/DotCom/committees-groups/cifp-rbp/2026/20260527/20260527-
informational-only---reliability-backstop-rfi-summary---charles-river-associates.pdf.
51 Note that Ms. Croop nowhere explains why the procurement period must be fifteen years. Every reference
treats “15 years” as a fixed input and deploys it to justify some other feature, without ever defending the
length itself. For example, Ms. Croop states the RBP term and its endpoints—“a fixed, 15-year period . . .
from the 2028/2029 Delivery Year to the 2042/2043 Delivery Year”—and explains that individual
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LSEs can fulfill their share of the RBP capacity obligation outside of the auction by
entering into five-year bilateral contracts. Proposed Tariff, Attachment DD, section 18.2(c)
explains that “Evidence of Qualifying RBP Offset UCAP MW” can include “[s]igned
bilateral contracts . . . for at least five Delivery Years with a commercial operation date
prior to the start of the 2032/2033 Delivery Year.” In its Transmittal Letter, PJM calls a
five-year term “balanced,”52 explaining:53
Capacity with a bilateral contract of at least five years is
capacity that will address the reliability shortfall and is not
transitory. Furthermore, a five-year term is not so lengthy as
to undermine the flexibility needed for commercial
contracting or to pose a significant barrier to eligibility for
Qualifying RBP Offset UCAP MW, in recognition of the
fact that bilateral agreements may not need to be longer than
five years to develop new capacity.
The proposed tariff amendments provide no limit on the amount of self-supply or opt-out
offset megawatts.54 “The final RTO-wide procurement target, as proposed, is determined
by subtracting both verified Qualifying RBP Offset UCAP MW and the unforced capacity
obligation value of load with opt-outs.”55 In other words, there is no minimum amount of
RBP capacity necessary to ensure reliability—meaning that the amount of RBP-procured
capacity could be zero.
commitments vary by commercial operation date; that is a description of the term’s mechanics, not a rationale
for choosing fifteen years. Croop Aff. ¶ 5.
52 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 39.
53 Id. at 39-40.
54 Proposed Tariff, Attach. DD § 18.1(b) (“The Final RBP Target shall be a PJM region-wide value equal to
the Initial RBP Target minus the total PJM region-wide Qualifying RBP Offset UCAP MW and the
unforced capacity obligation value of load that have successfully requested and obtained an opt-out
pursuant to Tariff, Attachment DD, section 18.1(d).”).
55 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 31-32.
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And PJM does not allege, nor could it reasonably do so, that the proposed 15-year
procurements provide some residual/additional reliability benefit. The purpose of the RBP
is to remediate a one-time, short-term shortfall. Moreover, PJM’s IRAS proposal may
remediate the new large load issue going forward. New large loads will either self-supply
or their associated load will be subject to curtailment. And all new large loads will be
excluded from the BRA beginning with the 2029/2030 Delivery Year.56 Nor does PJM
contend that the RBP procurement serves any economic purpose. As shown below, PJM
has made no showing that the RBP’s procurement of capacity at an average price of
$555/MW-day bears any meaningful relationship to the project costs of the resources that
will be procured.
It is unjust and unreasonable to charge ratepayers for the acquisition of ten years of
capacity that is not needed to “address the reliability shortfall” and serves no
cost-efficiency or other economic purpose. In Citadel FNGE Ltd. v. FERC, the D.C. Circuit
explained that the “application of [a PJM auction rule] was unjust and unreasonable not
just because of how much it increased the wholesale rate, but because it caused that increase
for no justifiable purpose” and “without any commensurate [consumer] benefit.”57 That
“comfortably fits the definition of unjust and unreasonable.”58 Where a price increase
“serv[es] no good purpose,” the absence of a reasoned justification for it makes it “unjust
and unreasonable in its own right.”59
56 PJM IRAS Filing at 49, 109.
57 Citadel FNGE Ltd. v. FERC, 77 F.4th 842, 856 (D.C. Cir. 2023).
58 Id.
59 Id. at 857.
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Although the foregoing demonstrates that the fifteen-year period is unjust and
unreasonable, we note that it is also unduly discriminatory to require some ratepayers to
pay for fifteen-year procurements when other ratepayers are insulated from RBP charges
due to exemptions or bilateral/self-supply arrangements of only five-years.60 PJM’s
assertion that a five-year contract is sufficient to satisfy the RBP’s short-term reliability
need cannot be squared with a proposal requiring 15-year commitments to meet the same
need.
C.
The RBP fosters the exercise of seller-side market power and is
unlikely to secure the least-cost combination of resources.
PJM proposes to run the RBP “procurement mechanism as a pay-as-bid, capacity-
only structure, with a MW-weighted average levelized procurement cost maximum
willingness to pay equal to $555/MW-day UCAP across all Delivery Years.”61 PJM affiant
Croop explains that unlike the BRA, the RBP “is designed as a pay-as-bid procurement in
which each selected resource is compensated based on its individual offer rather than a
market-clearing price established by the marginal resource.”62 Tellingly, PJM concedes
that no seller in the RBP is incented to bid its marginal cost. As Ms. Croop explains, “[i]n
a pay-as-bid approach, unlike a uniform clearing price construct where sellers are expected
to offer a marginal cost, sellers are more likely to offer the expected clearing price.”63
60 To be clear, Joint Consumer Advocates are not arguing for an extension of the terms of qualifying bilateral
self-supply arrangements. If IRAS is implemented as proposed, then the reliability problems associated with
the projected data centers will be remediated. If the Commission does not reject the RBP, the correct solution
is to limit RBP procurement terms to five years, the same as qualifying self-supply.
61 Croop Aff. ¶ 6.
62 Id. ¶ 32.
63 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 71 (quoting Croop Aff. ¶ 33).
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As proposed, PJM’s RBP violates basic tenets governing the use of competitive
acquisitions to set just and reasonable rates under the Federal Power Act (FPA). The
Supreme Court has held that “the Commission lacks the authority to place exclusive
reliance on market prices,”64 explaining that the “prevailing price in the marketplace cannot
be the final measure of ‘just and reasonable’ rates mandated by the [FPA].”65 Accordingly,
and as the D.C. Circuit has explained, it is only “when there is a competitive market [that]
[the Commission] may rely upon market-based prices in lieu of cost-of-service regulation
to assure a ‘just and reasonable’ result.”66 In other words: 67
In a competitive market, where neither buyer nor seller has
significant market power, it is rational to assume that the
terms of their voluntary exchange are reasonable, and
specifically to infer that the price is close to marginal cost,
such that the seller makes only a normal return on its
investment.
The proposed RBP is not a just and reasonable competitive procurement because—as PJM
admits—no seller is incented to bid their marginal cost. Moreover, PJM offers no
supporting evidence that the resulting procurement price will be the result of true price
competition, or that the outcome will reflect the marginal cost of the resources to be
procured.
64 FPC v. Texaco Inc., 417 U.S. 380, 400 (1974).
65 Id. at 397.
66 Elizabethtown Gas Co. v. FERC, 10 F.3d 866, 870 (D.C. Cir. 1993).
67 Id. (quoting Tejas Power Corp. v. FERC, 908 F.2d 998, 1004 (D.C. Cir. 1990)). See also PJM, Revisions
to Reliability Pricing Model, Transmittal Letter at 74, PJM Interconnection, L.L.C., Docket No. ER25-682
(Dec. 9, 2024), eLibrary No. 20241209-5207 (“The Commission uses a market-based approach to wholesale
electric regulation, reasoning that, in a ‘competitive market, where neither buyer nor seller has significant
market power, it is rational to assume that the terms of their voluntary exchange are reasonable, and
specifically to infer that price is close to marginal cost, such that the seller makes only a normal return on its
investment.’” (quoting Tejas Power Corp., 908 F.2d at 1004)).
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The proposed RBP is unlike PJM’s standard auction capacity procurement
mechanism, the BRA. In contrast to the RBP, “the objective of [the BRA is] to procure the
least-cost, competitively-priced combination of resources necessary to meet the region’s
reliability objectives.”68 The Commission has found the BRA design to be just and
reasonable because it is intended to ensure competition and mitigate seller-side market
power by myriad means.69 The BRA includes must-offer resource obligations, market
seller resource offer caps, a market price cap, and oversight of bids/bidding by the
Independent Market Monitor; and competitive new entry disciplines incumbent market
power.70 A central premise of the design is that capacity sellers are expected to bid their
own marginal costs. In accepting the BRA construct and its single clearing price model,
the Commission found that “under this model, the generator has the proper incentive to bid
the lowest price that covers its marginal cost.”71
By contrast, the RBP includes none of the BRA’s approved mitigation measures.
PJM concedes that “[n]o direct market power screens or mitigation are being proposed for
68 N.J. Bd. of Pub. Utils. v. FERC, 744 F.3d 74, 101 (3d Cir. 2014).
69 PJM Interconnection L.L.C., 117 FERC ¶ 61,331 (2006) (RPM Order), reh’g granted in part,
119 FERC ¶ 61,318, reh’g denied, 121 FERC ¶ 61,173 (2007), pet. for review denied sub nom., Pub. Serv.
Elec. & Gas Co. v. FERC, 324 Fed. Appx. 1 (2009).
70 The forward-looking BRA was the product of a settlement with “design features [intended to] discourage
the exercise of market power and market manipulation generally. Specific mitigation rules and increased
competition from new entry are the most important design elements in this regard.” Id. P 6. It must be
emphasized that Joint Consumer Advocates do not concede that the Reliability Pricing Model (RPM) is at
present competitive or just and reasonable. As a subset of the Joint Consumer Advocates have shown in their
pending complaint in FERC Docket No. EL25-18-000, there is inadequate new entry to mitigate the market
power of incumbent resources and inadequate measures to mitigate that market power. Among other things,
demand-side resources should be subject to a must-offer obligation to avoid the exercise of physical and
economic withholding. RBP fails to provide even the less-than-acceptable protections in the current
RPM/BRA structure.
71 RPM Order, P 141 n.101 (quoting Commonwealth Edison Co., 113 FERC ¶ 61,278, P 43 (2005)); see also
Croop Aff. ¶ 33 (in a “uniform clearing price construct” such as the BRA “sellers are expected to offer [at
their] marginal cost”).
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the RBP,”72 and acknowledges that “[i]n the context of a pay-as-bid structure with a
maximum willingness to pay set at $555/MW-day UCAP, the effectiveness of direct
market screens or mitigation is limited.”73 By its own admission, the proposal is fatally
flawed because PJM concedes that RBP sellers are not incented to bid their own production
costs but are instead “more likely to offer the expected clearing price.”74 A seller’s ability
to bid unconstrained by its competitors’ cost of production is a paradigmatic example of
the exercise of seller-side market power.75 Here, every resource eligible to offer into the
RBP can bid to raise prices to the $555/MW-day average price cap regardless of its
marginal cost or that of its competitors. Resources bidding into the RBP will be engaged
in a gaming strategy rather than price competition.
The ability of offering resources to exercise market power and thereby set RBP
rates is not an unanticipated consequence—it is baked into the procurement’s design. PJM
admits that RBP’s design leaves it powerless to protect against the exercise of seller-side
market power. “Given offers will likely have less variation and information underlying
offers it can be difficult and ineffective to determine offers exhorting market power.”76 But
this is no defense where the “difficult[y]” PJM faces is a consequence of its having
proposed an inherently anti-competitive procurement structure.
72 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 66.
73 Id.
74 Id. at 71 (quoting Croop Aff. ¶ 33).
75 A “resource[] [that can] increase prices in a specific area . . . [has] the ability to exercise market power.”
FERC Office of Energy Policy and Innovation, Energy Primer A Handbook for Energy Market Basics at 72
(2023).
76 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 71 (quoting Croop Aff. ¶ 33).
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PJM proffers a series of unconvincing arguments purporting to show that the RBP
construct “minimize[s] the potential for [the] exercise of market power.”77
First, PJM asserts that unlike the single-clearing price BRA structure, the RBP
design protects against economic/physical withholding for portfolio benefits and against
the ability to collect inframarginal rents.78 While this may be true, the inapplicability of
one market power strategy does not show that the design is immune from other forms of
seller-side market power. To the contrary, PJM and its witness, Ms. Croop, admit that
market power concerns remain, acknowledging that bidders are “most likely to offer the
expected price” and not their own marginal cost of production.79
Second, PJM asserts that “[t]he existence of a reasonable maximum willingness to
pay further discipline[s] costs” because an offer may not clear “due to more economical
offers and/or the costs exceeding the set maximum willingness to pay.”80 But PJM explains
that the pay-as-bid design incentivizes resources to offer at prices close to what they expect
the “clearing” price to be, so there is no reason to expect meaningful quantities of
significantly more “economical” offers. And the $555/MW-day “maximum willingness to
pay” benchmark is not self-evidently just and reasonable. What PJM must show is that
there is a meaningful relationship between its proposed $555/MW-day average price cap
and the actual costs of the resources that will be procured. “[T]he prevailing price in the
market cannot be the final measure of ‘just and reasonable’ rates mandated by the [FPA].”81
77 Id. at 66.
78 Id. at 67-68.
79 Id. at 71 (quoting Croop Aff. ¶ 33).
80 Id. at 67.
81 FPC v. Texaco, 417 U.S. at 397.
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It cannot reasonably be inferred that the RBP as proposed will create meaningful cost-
based price competition between and among offering resources.82 PJM itself admits that
this is unlikely, as it is in the economic self-interest of bidders to offer somewhere around
the expected clearing price.83
Third, based upon data provided in response to an RFI and compiled by CRA, PJM
contends that there is a sufficient number of potential suppliers to cause “suppliers to
submit competitive offers” and thereby discipline market power concerns.84 This statement
is contrary to a statement two pages later that bidders are “more likely to offer the expected
clearing price.”85
In fact, Ms. Croop’s affidavit does not support the assertion that the RFI data show
that the RBP will function as a competitive solicitation. Ms. Croop says that the RFI’s
identification of a “large set of potential supply to participate in the RBP . . . allows the
RBP to function more like a competitive solicitation.”86 The phrase “more like” is an
implicit concession that the RBP will not be a price-competitive solicitation. And the RFI
data make that clear. The RBP will secure resources by order of delivery year (and then
cost) with priority beginning in the 2028/2029 Delivery Year.87 Only about 80 of the 397
projects identified by CRA claim an ability to achieve commercial operation by this date
and only 3% of all projects are under construction.88 And it is not clear that all of these
82 See Elizabethtown Gas Co. v. FERC, 10 F.3d at 870.
83 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 71 (quoting Croop Aff. ¶ 33).
84 Id. at 69.
85 Id. at 71.
86 Croop Aff. ¶ 35 (emphasis added).
87 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 75.
88 CRA RFI Summary at 6.
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projects will be eligible to bid into RBP.89 Given that there are relatively few resources that
can fill the immediate need, those with marginal costs less than $555/MW-day will have
every incentive to bid somewhere around the expected clearing price as opposed to their
marginal costs. As opposed to newly constructed power plants, the pool of resources most
likely to enter commercial operation within two-years may well consist of unit
reactivations, unit uprates, or demand response, and may well have marginal costs far lower
than $555/MW-day.
Fourth, PJM’s reliance upon the Commission’s 2015 acceptance of the California
Independent System Operator’s (CAISO) “Capacity Procurement Mechanism” (CPM) as
support for approval of the RBP fails.90 CPM was intended to “procure an individual
resource to respond to unexpected, unplanned-for system conditions or meet unique
reliability needs.”91 CPM procurements were limited from one-month to one-year, and the
program’s soft offer cap represented the high end of the range of then current resource
adequacy prices, with CPM subject to stakeholder review every four years to ensure the
just and reasonableness of the acquisition cost.92 Significantly, the Commission had
rejected prior versions of CPM because “the continuation of a fixed going-forward cost
ha[d] not been shown to be just and reasonable because of the likelihood that market
conditions, which can affect the price of capacity, will fluctuate over time.”93 The design,
89 The eligibility of those projects to bid into the RBP is unknown, as is the accuracy of the information
provided to CRA.
90 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 64 (citing Cal. Indep. Sys. Operator Corp., 153 FERC ¶ 61,001, P 29 (2015)
(CAISO CPM Order), clarified, 154 FERC ¶ 61,034 (2016)).
91 Id. at 70 n.179 (quoting CAISO, Tariff Amendment and Offer of Settlement Regarding Capacity
Procurement Mechanism Revisions and Request for Waiver of Notice Requirement, Transmittal Letter at 15,
Cal. Indep. Sys. Operator Corp., Docket No. ER15-1783 (May 26, 2015), eLibrary No. 20150526-5272).
92 CAISO CPM Order, PP 6, 29.
93 Id. P 4 (quoting Cal. Indep. Sys. Operator Corp., 134 FERC ¶ 61,211, P 58 (2011)).
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scope, length, and pricing of PJM’s RBP is likewise nothing like the CPM. Even setting
aside the RBP’s more expansive scope (seeking to procure 6.8 GWs), 15-year term, and
absence of any tether to underlying unit resource costs, the Commission did not identify
any aspect of CPM that would permit the unmitigated exercise of seller-side market power.
Fifth, and finally, PJM’s reliance on the tariff’s treatment of Planned Generation
Capacity Resources as a cure for RBP’s market power concerns is misguided. Planned
Generation Capacity Resources’ sell offers “may be rejected if [they] exceed[] 140% of an
average price established around the [Variable Resource Requirement (VRR)] Curve.”94
There is no VRR Curve applicable to the RBP. As further discussed below, the RBP’s
$555/MW-day figure derives from what would have been the Point 1 market cap for the
2027/2028 Delivery Year but for the replacement price collar, and is tied to the Cost of
New Entry for a new combustion turbine. There is no reference unit applicable to the RBP.
The BRA is intended to meet one-years’ worth of capacity needs based upon the least-cost
procurement of capacity resources. PJM nowhere claims, nor could it show, that the RBP
is designed to secure a least-cost combination of resources. PJM simply plans to funnel
dollars to resources at prices divorced from their marginal costs in an auction that PJM
admits will not be based on resource price competition.
In summary, RBP leaves consumers at the mercy of suppliers who, unconstrained
by resource price competition or any other meaningful mitigation measures, have every
incentive and opportunity to bid as close to the price cap as possible. And bidders will be
operating in an admittedly supply-constrained environment, subject only to a wholly
arbitrary “willingness to pay” provision at an average (and potentially higher) $555/MW-
94 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 70 n.182 (citing PJM Tariff, Attach. DD § 6.5(a)(ii)(C)).
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day capacity price untethered to any selected resource’s actual cost minus its energy and
ancillary services revenues. This is transparently unjust and unreasonable, an invitation for
the abuse of seller market power, and a burdening of ratepayers with billions in unjustified
capacity charges.
D.
The proposed $555/MW-Day cap price is excessive.
PJM contends the $555/MW-day average price cap is just and reasonable because
it corresponds to the “uncollared price cap based on Point 1 of the VRR curve for the
2028/2029 Delivery Year BRA.”95 PJM’s reliance on what would have been the hard
market cap for the 2028/2029 Delivery Year (but for the collar) is unsound for multiple
reasons.
PJM concedes that the “willingness to pay for a 15-year commitment should not
exceed the amount that load would be willing to pay for a single-year commitment under
the RPM framework.”96 But in fact, the willingness to pay for a 15-year commitment—
and the price that resources should be willing to accept, if guaranteed for 15 years—should
be substantially less than the corresponding amounts for a one-year commitment. That is
true as a general matter, as 15-year price certainty reduces supplier risk and eases financing.
But it is particularly true where the reliability need is concentrated in the early part of the
period, when the one-year commitment would occur. In that context, the one-year
commitment reflects a scarcity price that simply should not be expected to apply across the
full 15-year term.
95 Id. at 62.
96 Id. at 64.
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Additionally, as it is used in the BRA structure, Point 1 of the VRR curve for the
2028/2029 Delivery Year is a hard cap. Load would never under any outcome pay more
than the $555/MW-day fixed price cap. But as used in the RBP, the $555/MW-day price is
a soft price cap, meaning that ratepayers are subject to paying a selected resource’s “as
bid” offer price—and are not protected by a fixed, $555/MW-day cap. It is plausible that
ratepayers may pay more than $555/MW-day for RBP-acquired capacity and there is
nothing to protect against it. This is because the RBP’s actual $/MW-day average price cap
will increase to the extent any resource or combination of resources that bid less than
$555/MW-day fail to enter commercial operation or cease operation prior to the end of
their RBP commitment term.
The possibility that ratepayers may pay more than an average acquisition price of
$555/MW-day is a matter of simple mathematics and can be shown through the following
example. Assume, for simplification purposes, that the RBP procures a total of 5,000 MW
(due to offsets) at an average price of $555/MW-day. Assume further that 1,000 MW of
load has bid in at a price of $400/MW-day: a price higher than the 2028/2029 Delivery
Year $325/MW-day price collar but sufficiently below the $555/MW-day average price to
facilitate being selected. Assume further that the selected low-price load does not enter
commercial operation. The loss of this load would cause the actual RBP average price to
increase to $593.75/MW-day.97 This outcome is not implausible; PJM recognizes that RBP
committed resources may fail to achieve commercial operation for sundry legitimate
97 An RBP acquisition of $555/MW-day multiplied by 5,000 MW equals $2,775,000 per day in capacity
charges. Removing 1,000 MW of committed resources at $400/day results in $2,375,000 per day in capacity
charges ($2,775,000 minus $400,000) now spread over 4,000 MW of resources. This results in a
$593.75/MW-day average price: an increase of $38.75/MW-day over the soft cap of $555/MW-day.
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reasons including the lack of necessary Network Upgrades.98 Over the 15-year RBP
commitment term, the price increase in this example results in roughly $850 million in
gross costs beyond what “load would be willing to pay” as measured against PJM’s own
standard.99
PJM’s borrowing of Point 1 of the VRR curve is likewise inapposite because it is a
reference cost grounded in the estimated Cost of New Entry for a combustion turbine, and
is the market price cap in a BRA auction where bidders are expected to offer at their
marginal cost of production.100 By comparison, the RBP has no reference resource or VRR
curve, nor is it anticipated that bidders will bid their cost of production.101 And, again
unlike the BRA, PJM concedes that the RBP is designed to procure a set of sufficiently
heterogenous resources such that it cannot objectively establish a uniform clearing price:102
[T]he proposed procurement is not acquiring a uniform
commodity. Although the RBP will seek a fixed, 15-year
period of time for procurement and cost allocation of RBP
Resources, those resources may differ based on contract
duration (dependent on the projected in-service date of
selected resources), commercial operation dates, and other
factors such as differences in [Effective Load Carrying
98 PJM Filing, Attach. D, Affidavit of Ms. Gwen Kelly ¶¶ 10-11 (Due to a variety of RBP project development
risks, “PJM concluded that resources seeking RBP commitments present risks that a committed resource may
fail to achieve commercial operation or experience delays in reaching commercial operation.”); see also PJM
Filing, Transmittal at 60 (excusing from RBP shortfall charges RBP resources that fail to meet their
commercial operation dates solely because of Network Upgrade issues).
99 While in some circumstances there may be charges imposed on resources that fail to achieve commercial
operation, those charges are limited, and such shortfall charge amounts are unlikely to overcome the cost
increase described here.
100 “PJM states that the choice of a [combustion turbine] plant as the Reference Resource is consistent with
criteria that PJM has used in previous Periodic Reviews, including: (1) feasibility to build; (2) whether the
resource is an economic source of incremental capacity; and (3) whether the resource’s Net [Cost of New
Entry] can be accurately estimated. [The Commission] find[s] that PJM reasonably supports its conclusion
that a [combustion turbine] plant meets these criteria because it is feasible to build and offers an economically
viable source of incremental capacity.” PJM Interconnection, L.L.C., 194 FERC ¶ 61,049, P 16 (footnote
omitted), on reh’g, 196 FERC ¶ 61,007 (2026).
101 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 71 (quoting Croop Aff. ¶ 33).
102 Croop Aff. ¶ 25.
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Capability (ELCC)] accreditation and varying UCAP across
the full term of the commitment. These differences create
distinct products rather than a single homogeneous offering.
Establishing a uniform clearing price across such varied
products would require PJM to normalize offers through
potentially complex and subjective assumptions.
Nor will PJM undertake to ascertain whether any offer reflects the resource’s cost of
production.103 A review of PJM’s proposed gating criteria confirms that PJM’s offer review
will be limited to a “demonstrat[ion] that the proposed resource will be successfully
completed and able to provide capacity.”104
In short, PJM has simply plucked a figure from the RPM construct and suggested
it fits with the RBP design. This maneuver fails where PJM does not show any rational
connection between its proposed price cap and the RBP, including that its proposed
$555/MW-day average RBP price is either just and reasonable or bears any meaningful
relationship to the marginal costs of production of the resources to be acquired.
E.
The absence of locational criteria for RBP resource
procurements poses unjustified cost risks for ratepayers.
Affiant Croop explains that while PJM “recognizes there are locational
considerations at large for resource adequacy, and these constraints are modeled in the
Reliability Pricing Model[,]”105 RBP includes no locational procurement signal. She states,
“PJM does not propose to match specific supply to specific demand or to apply locational
constraints in the central procurement.”106 PJM does not take the position, however, that
locational information is irrelevant; it asserts instead that it simply “does not have the
103 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 66 (“No direct market power screens or mitigation are being proposed for the
RBP.”).
104 Id. at 71.
105 Croop Aff. ¶ 8.
106 Id. ¶ 7.
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information needed to determine such locational parameters for 15-year term capacity
commitments.”107
That assertion cannot be reconciled with PJM’s intention to allocate RBP costs to
zones based on their large load forecasts.108 As proposed, the RBP structure is unjust and
unreasonable because it risks burdening ratepayers with additional new transmission and
energy costs (if the large load’s arrival on the grid creates congestion) that could be avoided
or ameliorated through the use of a locational procurement signal.
II.
REQUEST FOR ISSUANCE OF DIRECTIVE TO PJM TO IMPLEMENT
ONE OF TWO JUST AND REASONABLE ALTERNATIVES
As shown above, the proposed RBP is unjust and unreasonable, and the
Commission should reject it. The identified deficiencies are fundamental, broad ranging in
scope and impact, and contrary to the Commission’s “first and foremost duty” under the
FPA to “protect consumers from unjust and unreasonable rates.”109
PJM says that reliability demands that nearly 7 GW of new supply be procured in
the near-term, yet permits an untold number of megawatts (or possibly gigawatts) to
opt-out of the auction with no evident concern that doing so will adversely impact system
reliability. PJM proposes no counterpart provision to adjust the target forecast for known
reductions in projected new large loads even as those forecasts have been rapidly and
continuously plummeting.
107 Id. ¶ 8.
108 “The initial allocation of RBP UCAP MW to each Electric Distributor zone/area will be based on Load
Adjustments, as set forth in PJM Table B9b from the 2026 PJM Load Forecast, and each zone/area’s share
of the Initial RBP Target of 6,831.3 MW.” Id. ¶ 46 (with chart of zonal allocations).
109 Morgan Stanley Cap. Grp. v. Pub. Util. Dist. No. 1 of Snohomish Cty., 554 U.S. 527, 551 (2008). See also
Atl. Ref. Co. v. Pub. Serv. Comm’n of N.Y., 360 U.S. 378, 388 (1959) (The FPA’s sister Act, the Natural Gas
Act, was “framed as to afford consumers a complete, permanent and effective bond of protection from
excessive rates and charges.”).
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RBP will saddle ratepayers with fifteen years of payments,110 even as PJM admits
that the proposed commitment period is as much as a decade longer than the five-year
bilateral procurements that will meet PJM’s reliability needs. The design constrains, if not
prohibits, the participation of short-term resources, even though those are the megawatts
most likely to align with the immediate-term need.
The proposed price cap is unjustified. It bears no meaningful relationship to the
costs of the resources to be procured and was simply lifted from a design in which it is used
in setting clearing prices for a one-year commitment, not a period as long as fifteen years.
And, the cap is excessive given the extended period of rate certainty, which should mean
lower, not higher, prices.
Finally, PJM admits that its RBP’s pay-as-bid design is subject to market power
concerns because sellers are more likely to offer the expected clearing price rather than
their marginal cost, yet its proposal contains no market mitigation protocols. A competitive
procurement rife with obvious market power problems that includes no meaningful
mitigation measures is per se unjust and unreasonable.
Instead of RBP, the Commission should exercise its FPA section 206 authority and
direct PJM to implement one of the following two just and reasonable alternatives.111
Option One: Direct PJM to Propose a “Subscription-Based” Procurement
Framework. PJM should be directed to refile the RBP as a “subscription” model, in which
110 The amount of RBP charges for a procurement total of 6,831 MWs at a rate of $555/MW-day x 365
days x 15 years would be $20,756,847,375.
111 The Commission has already found in the recently-initiated show cause order proceeding (Docket
No. EL26-67-000) that “PJM’s existing Open Access Transmission Tariff (Tariff) appears to be unjust,
unreasonable, or unduly discriminatory or preferential,” PJM Interconnection, L.L.C., 195 FERC ¶ 61,211,
P 3 (2026), and we show here that RBP is as well. Joint Consumer Advocates assert that the Commission can
use its authority under FPA section 206, 16 U.S.C. § 824e, to rectify certain of the issues highlighted in the
Show Cause Order proceeding by implementing one of the two options presented below.
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LSEs, as the entities legally or contractually obligated to supply a large load’s capacity and
energy needs, would be responsible for determining both the procurement target for the
large loads that they serve and bearing the associated financial and credit obligations
associated with those loads. LSEs wishing to participate in a centralized procurement
would indicate to PJM the megawatt quantity that should be procured on their behalf
through the RBP. With a subscription-based model, there is no need for opt-outs because
the procurement target is based on requests from LSEs to buy, and not forecasts, which in
this environment are uncertain at best.
A proposal along these lines was presented and debated during the stakeholder
process and received greater than the two-thirds sector-weighted member support required
for adoption. The PJM Board of Directors nonetheless rejected the subscription model,
stating in a July 27, 2026 “Decisional Letter” that it had “concluded that a voluntary
subscription framework would not provide sufficient assurance that capacity equal to the
identified near-term shortfall would actually be procured.”112 We are unsure why that is
necessarily the case. LSEs presumably work with the loads they serve to determine how
best to satisfy capacity obligations, including making resource build, demand response,
and bilateral contracting decisions. Moreover, a general concern about failing to procure
sufficient capacity rings hollow when considered against the proposed RBP, which
includes opt-out rights that could reduce substantially the amount of capacity to be
procured.
112 Letter from Paula Conboy, Chair, PJM Board of Managers, to Stakeholders at 1 (July 27, 2026),
https://www.pjm.com/-/media/DotCom/about-pjm/who-we-are/public-disclosures/2026/20260727-board-
decisional-letter-on-cifp-reliability-backstop-procurement-and-connect-and-manage.pdf.
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The likely success of a subscription model should also be assessed in the context
of PJM’s IRAS proposal. New large loads that want firm service should be highly incented
to self-supply rather than face the prospect of interruptible service.
Option Two: Advance the Effective Date of the Recently-Filed IRAS Proposal.
PJM explains that while the instant filing is “focused on the RBP framework, PJM
intends to quickly follow this filing with another FPA section 205 filing to propose an
interim resource adequacy service (“IRAS”).”113 That filing has now been made, and is
pending before the Commission in Docket No. ER 26-3515-000.114 As proposed, IRAS
will provide large load customers with a choice: they can either bring their own new
generation to meet their emerging and substantial generation needs or avoid that obligation
and be treated as involuntary demand response; effectively, non-firm load. The Board’s
July 27 letter explains (at 2) that under IRAS:
Electric Distributors will be required to implement an
Interim Resource Adequacy Service for new Large Loads
that, as of June 1, 2027, do not bring sufficient capacity to
serve their resource adequacy needs and cannot otherwise be
served at the 1-in-10 reliability standard. Load reductions
under this service will occur prior to the deployment of Pre-
Emergency Load Management.
Joint Consumer Advocates will have more to say about the IRAS proposal once we
have had a chance to complete our review. In the meantime, it seems clear that a proposal
developed along the lines of IRAS will help to meet reliability concerns and address the
data center load capacity problem—without burdening states with the obligation to develop
approaches to allocate incremental RBP costs to large load customers, or for consumers to
113 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 4.
114 See PJM IRAS Filing.
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bear the burden of incremental costs that are (for whatever reason) not assigned to the large
loads. Based on our preliminary review, the IRAS structure meets PJM’s reliability needs,
provides new large loads a way to come on the system, enables PJM’s BRA to return over
time to a competitive balance between supply and demand, protects ratepayers from further
increases in BRA prices by removing the load from the BRA, and protects ratepayers from
stranded costs.
For these reasons, and assuming the IRAS proposal is found to be just and
reasonable, the Commission should, in lieu of approving the RBP, advance the effective
date of IRAS such that, beginning with the 2028/2029 Delivery Year, large load customers
should be given the option of bringing their own new resources online or having the amount
of their new large load treated as “first-off” to ensure system reliability in emergency
circumstances.115
III.
IF THE COMMISSION DECLINES TO REJECT RBP, IT SHOULD
CONDITION ACCEPTANCE TO ADDRESS EVIDENT AND
SUBSTANTIAL CONCERNS.
If the Commission is not inclined to reject the RBP or adopt either of the options
described above, then at a minimum any approval of RBP should be conditioned. PJM
states a willingness to accept “the Commission’s exercise of authority to modify and/or
sever any element of the proposed Tariff and [Reliability Assurance Agreement] language”
to the extent consistent with law and “where such modification and/or severance is
consistent with PJM’s overarching objectives in this filing.”116 We assert that there are
115 To the extent that there are large load customers who can demonstrate that they have taken steps to
interconnect based on the promise of capacity-backed service through the BRA, those loads should (in some
fashion) be grandfathered.
116 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 3. To the extent necessary, the Commission could impose these conditions by
means of its FPA section 206 authority.
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several conditions that could be imposed that would be both on solid legal grounds and
fully consistent with the purposes PJM seeks to achieve.
These include:
1. Limit the acquisition period. The Commission should limit the RBP
procurement period to five years, consistent with PJM’s assertions that new bilateral
arrangements with a five-year term (from 2028 through 2032) will address PJM’s identified
reliability need and are “balanced” and sufficient to incent new generation. PJM’s
assertions demonstrate that it is unjust and unreasonable to require ratepayers to bear
procurement costs over a fifteen-year period. As noted earlier, PJM does not attempt to
defend the fifteen-year payout period, stating only that it has been included in the proposal
to implement the Statement of Principles, which includes the extended payout period.
Respectfully, absent more, that agreement is insufficient to justify the imposition of
enormous and unnecessary costs on ratepayers. At minimum, if the Commission declines
to require a shorter commitment period, it should require the inclusion of a Tariff provision
authorizing the Commission to change prices and performance terms if it finds, upon
complaint or its own motion, that they have become unjust and unreasonable.
2. Provide for procurement target adjustment to reflect additional known forecast
reductions. The RBP should be modified to permit a reduction in the procurement target
to reflect demand reductions that have occurred since the large load forecast used for the
2028/2029 BRA or that will occur before October 21, 2026, the deadline for the submission
of opt-out and offsetting self-supply requests, to reflect data centers that are not expected
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to be in-service by the 2028/2029 Delivery Year and require utilities to provide this
information to PJM.117
The RBP proposal provides for a possible reduction in the Initial RBP Target
resulting from certain off-setting new capacity.118 The Commission should direct that PJM
include a similar off-set option to address anticipated data center projects that have been or
will be substantially delayed or cancelled, to better ensure the accuracy of the final RBP
target. Utilities should be required, prior to the October 21, 2026 deadline, to update the
procurement target and exclude any cancelled or delayed data center load that is included
in PJM’s current large load forecast for the RBP.119 Absent such relief, ratepayers could
be forced to bear RBP procurement costs to satisfy illusory reliability needs.
3. Opt-Out Rights for LSEs with No Large Load Customers. The opt-out afforded
to municipal and cooperative utilities should be expanded to be available to any LSE in a
zone that is allocated RBP costs that has no large load customers. In both cases, absent
relief those incremental RBP costs will simply be passed to customers who will have no
other option but to bear them.
4. Deferral where a state is intending to act but has not completed its action. There
may be situations in which retail ratepayers are charged RBP costs because a state plans to
act but that action is delayed. It that instance, the Commission could condition approval of
117 As explained above, between now and January 16, 2026, when the Statement of Principles were released,
PJM’s reliability needs associated with projected new large loads have changed markedly. Data centers
within PJM continue to be delayed or cancelled at a rapid pace, and the Commission has endorsed the use of
flexible transmission to maintain system reliability while permitting the interconnection of new large loads
to the grid. Sw. Power Pool, 195 FERC ¶ 61,196, P 1 (2026) (approving the Southwest Power Pool’s
implementation of a new type of non-firm transmission service called Conditional High Impact Large Load
Service).
118 PJM Filing, Transmittal at 35-37.
119 See Croop Aff. ¶ 42.
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the RBP on the inclusion of a true-up mechanism that would hold those customers
harmless. Alternatively, where a state intends to act but has not yet done so, the RBP could
require that a zone’s charges be held in abeyance for a period of time to accommodate the
intended—but not yet completed—state action.
5. Mechanisms to ensure just and reasonable prices. As explained above, it is
unjust and unreasonable for 15-year RBP prices to be set by a mechanism likely to produce
prices centered on the “willingness to pay” cap based on the uncollared BRA price cap.
That proposal spreads and extends the BRA price cap’s one-year scarcity price,
unnecessarily and unreasonably, for as long as 15 years. And, as also shown above, that
willingness to pay threshold is applied on an average basis across all RBP resources, which
means that some resources may demand and receive prices far above those levels. Neither
aspect has been shown to be just and reasonable. Accordingly, the Commission should
substantially reduce the willingness to pay average price cap. Additionally, the
Commission should consider allowing PJM to use RBP to identify the resources with which
it seeks to contract but require the sellers to file cost-based rates, with appropriate cost
justifications, for review by this Commission.
6. Incorporation of locational price signals. PJM knows the zones in which new
large loads are projected to interconnect; that is what drives part of its cost allocation
proposal. PJM should prefer to select resources that propose to be located in the zones
where the new large loads are located. Doing so will help to prevent the incorporation of
new large loads from driving up transmission costs to deliver energy from far-flung new
capacity resources to the places where the load is located. And it will mitigate RBP’s
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tendency to mute the BRA’s price signals by displacing locationally-selected BRA
resources with non-locationally-selected RBP resources.
CONCLUSION
PJM’s RBP proposal should be rejected. It is self-contradictory, deeply flawed, and
likely to result in significant and excessive costs to ratepayers that are “all pain and no
gain.” As the stakeholder process made clear, the purported capacity shortfall and whatever
reliability concerns it engenders can be addressed through far less costly and more efficient
means. We urge the Commission to move toward those options, rather than risk burdening
PJM consumers with enormous and unnecessary costs.
/s/ Susan L. Satter
/s/ Scott H. Strauss
Susan L. Satter
Chief, Public Utilities Bureau
Scott Metzger
Public Utilities Policy Counsel
Kimberly B. Janas
Counsel to the Attorney General
ILLINOIS ATTORNEY GENERAL’S OFFICE
115 South LaSalle Street, 25th Floor
Chicago, IL 60603
susan.satter@ilag.gov
Counsel for the Office of the Illinois
Attorney General
Scott H. Strauss
Peter J. Hopkins
Jeffrey A. Schwarz
Lauren L. Springett
SPIEGEL & MCDIARMID LLP
1818 N Street, NW, 8th Floor
Washington, DC 20036
scott.strauss@spiegelmcd.com
Counsel for Delaware Division of the
Public Advocate, District of Columbia
Office of People’s Counsel, Illinois Citizens
Utility Board, Maryland Office of People’s
Counsel and New Jersey Division of Rate
Counsel
August 21, 2026PDF page 38
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CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
I hereby certify that I have this day caused the foregoing pleading to be served
upon each person designated on the official service list compiled by the Secretary in this
proceeding.
Dated on this 21st day of August, 2026.
/s/ Lauren L. Springett
Lauren L. Springett
Law Offices of:
SPIEGEL & MCDIARMID LLP
1818 N Street, NW
8th Floor
Washington, DC 20036
(202) 879-4000