Methodology

Version 0.2 definitions, inclusion rules, source hierarchy, deployment stages, and technology taxonomy.

Inclusion rule

A project needs a named developer, identifiable site or program, current milestone, next gate, and direct source. Early projects may enter with government or company reporting, but the label must say so.

Source hierarchy

  1. Regulator decisions and dockets
  2. Statutes, executive orders, agency awards
  3. Executed company or utility disclosures
  4. High-quality third-party reporting

Schedule confidence

High means completed evidence or a regulator-controlled step. Medium means an announced target with active work. Low means dependencies, finance, licensing, or site remain unresolved.

The race to a gigawatt

How the board decides who is ahead, and what each bar is allowed to claim.

Who is on the board

An entrant is a company with a named new-design commercial power reactor of roughly 350 MWe or less per unit, and documented U.S. regulatory or physical progress toward deploying it: an NRC docket, an NRC-approved design, a DOE authorization, a sited project, or a binding U.S. customer. 18 companies qualify as of 2026-08-06. This is a tracked sample, not a census of everyone building a reactor.

Each entrant page states one specific qualifying fact and cites the single source that establishes it. Where a company has more than one claim to a place on the board, the others appear in its ledgers with their own sources rather than being bundled into the roster basis.

Companies that only run test reactors or make fuel appear as context on entrant pages, not as entrants. Large AP1000-class reactors stay in the stage pipeline as tracked context; they are not racing to a first gigawatt.

What counts as a megawatt

Only U.S. megawatts. A U.S. vendor building the same design abroad, at Darlington in Ontario or Doicești in Romania, has that progress shown on its page as design proof contributing zero megawatts to the U.S. race, because the site’s claim is about U.S. deployment.

Test reactors and critical experiments contribute zero megawatts to every band. A criticality proves the physics works. It is not electricity, and it is not a license to sell any. All four reactors that reached criticality before the July 4, 2026 federal goal were zero-power units, and all four contribute zero megawatts here.

A company-stated target never moves a megawatt between bands. Only a documented action does. Targets are printed beside the regulator-documented state so a claim never floats free, and where a target conflicts with another account, both are shown.

The six bands

Each megawatt sits in exactly one band, the strongest state its evidence supports, so the bands never double-count. Bands are never added across frames, and announced megawatts never affect the ranking.

Operational0 MWe

Grid-connected and generating commercial power. Granting authority: Grid operator.

Nuclear construction365 MWe

NRC construction permit issued and physical nuclear work documented. Granting authority: NRC.

DOE-authorized build75 MWe

Built under a DOE authorization pathway with physical work documented. Not an NRC license to operate. Granting authority: DOE.

Under review1,220 MWe

Construction-permit or combined-license application docketed and in active regulator review. Granting authority: NRC.

Contracted321 MWe

An executed, funded agreement for a named project, whether offtake, order, delivery, or development funding, not yet in regulator review. Each claim says which kind it is. Granting authority: Counterparty.

Announced, non-binding40,075 MWe

MOU, LOI, master agreement, or announced target. No executed project documents. Granting authority: None.

A DOE authorization is not an NRC license

These are two different pathways and the board keeps them apart. The NRC licenses commercial power reactors; a construction permit authorizes building one, and a separate operating license is still required before it may run. DOE authorizes reactors on its own sites under its own safety process, which is how the pilot-program reactors were built and started so quickly.

A reactor being built under a DOE authorization is real physical progress, so it gets its own band rather than being folded into either NRC-permitted construction or a paper application. Oklo’s Aurora at Idaho National Laboratory is the case that forces the distinction: ground was broken in September 2025 under the DOE pathway while its NRC combined license is still under review. Ranking it beside an NRC-permitted build would overstate it; calling it an application would ignore a reactor being built.

Binding and non-binding never merge

A memorandum of understanding, a letter of intent, a master agreement, and a press-released target are announcements. They are recorded, dated, sourced, and kept on their own track, and the words “announced, non-binding” travel with the figure everywhere it appears.

This is the largest single fact on the board, and it is worth stating in both frames because they answer different questions. Against every megawatt resting on an executed action of any kind, including applications merely filed, announced capacity runs about 20 to one. Against the megawatts actually being built today, it runs about 91 to one.

The largest single announcement on record, Switch master power agreement at 12,000 MWe, is on its own roughly 27 times all the new-design capacity under construction in the United States. That is why the two are never summed into one number.

Eight deployment stages

01Interest

Public interest or exploratory statement.

02Preliminary

MOU, LOI, reservation, or early study.

03Development

Site control, engineering, formal licensing, or executed development work.

04Contractual

Binding offtake, equipment order, award, investment, or committed equity.

05Ready

Major permit, final investment decision, financial close, or notice to proceed.

06Physical

Site preparation, first concrete, installation, fuel delivery, or fuel loading.

07Operational

Criticality, first power, grid connection, full power, or commercial operation.

08Replication

Repeat unit, fleet order, manufacturing cadence, or demonstrated learning.

Definitions

Announced

A public statement. No site, binding contract, license, or finance implied.

Contracted

A signed binding agreement, with conditions and expiration disclosed when known.

Licensed

The specified regulator issued the named approval. A design approval is not a site operating license.

Under construction

Physical work on the nuclear project is underway; enabling or non-nuclear work is labeled separately.

Critical

A sustained nuclear chain reaction occurred. This does not mean electricity generation or commercial operation.

Operating

The unit is authorized and performing its intended operation. Commercial status is separately identified.

Reactor taxonomy

Each project carries generation, scale, reactor family, and operating role. “SMR” describes scale; “PWR” and “BWR” describe light-water families.

Light-water reactorLarge reactor or SMRLEU / water

Separate PWR from BWR; then track permits, operation, and repeat delivery

Sodium fast reactorHundreds of MWeHALEU metal fuel

Licensed construction → operating license → full-power operation

High-temperature gas reactorMicroreactor to 80 MWe/moduleTRISO particle fuel

Fuel fabrication at scale plus commercial heat-and-power operation

Fluoride salt-cooled reactorTest reactor to commercial moduleTRISO pebbles

Hermes test data followed by licensed power-reactor operation

Molten-salt reactorTest reactor to commercial moduleFuel salt or solid fuel / salt coolant

Fuel chemistry, materials, integrated test, criticality, then power operation

Heat-pipe reactorMicroreactorDesign-dependent / passive heat pipes

Fueled test, transport, installation, sustained power, then repeat delivery

Current limits

This release tracks a larger sourced sample, not a complete census. The full NRC pre-application roster, global projects, complete financing histories, supply-chain facilities, and historical stage changes remain incomplete. No headline count is a national total unless it explicitly says so.